Cuarenta años de polarización ideológica en España
Contenido principal del artículo
Resumen

Este artículo analiza la evolución de la polarización ideológica en el sistema de partidos español desde 1979. Se propone una reformulación del índice de Dalton para medir la polarización en España y se aplica a las 14 elecciones generales celebradas desde la aprobación de la Constitución. Los resultados indican una evolución con dos periodos distintos de siete elecciones cada uno y un claro aumento de la polarización ideológica desde 2015, alcanzando un máximo histórico en la actualidad. La medición de la polarización ideológica se complementa con la volatilidad y la competencia electoral generada por la llegada de nuevos partidos. Los mayores incrementos de la polarización se produjeron en elecciones que encajan en el concepto de elecciones críticas, es decir, elecciones que producen un cambio sustancial y duradero en los alineamientos electorales
Palabras clave
Referencias
Abramowitz, Alan I. y Saunders, Kyle L. (2008), "Is Polarization a Myth?", The Journal of Politics, vol. 70, nº 2, pp. 542-555. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381608080493
Bartolini, Stefano y Mair, Peter (2007), "Identity, Competition and Electoral Availability: the Stabilisation of European Electorates 1885-1985", ECPR Press, ECPR Classics, http://hdl.handle.net/1814/7073
Bergmann, Henning; Bäck, Hanna y Saalfeld, Thomas (2021), "Partysystem Polarisation, Legislative Institutions and Cabinet Survival in 28 Parliamentary Democracies, 1945-2019", West European Politics, pp. 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2020.1870345
Best, Robin E. y Dow, Jay K. (2015), "Simplicity is a Virtue: Measuring Party System Polarization", Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, San Francisco, 3-6 September.
Bramson, Aaron; Grim, Patrick; Singer, Daniel J.; Berger, William J.; Sack, Graham; Fisher, Steven; Flocken, Carissa y Holman, Bennett (2017), "Understanding Polarization: Meanings, Measures, and Model Evaluation", Philosophy of Science, vol. 84, nº 1, pp. 115-159. https://doi.org/10.1086/688938
Brewer, Mark D. (2005), "The Rise of Partisanship and the Expansion of Partisan Conflict within the American Electorate", Political Research Quarterly, vol. 58, nº 2, pp. 219-229. https://doi.org/10.1177/106591290505800203
Casal Bértoa, Fernando (2014), "Party Systems and Cleavage Structures Revisited: A Sociological Explanation of Party System Institutionalization in East Central Europe", Party Politics, vol. 20, nº 1, pp. 16-36. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068811436042
Casal Bértoa, Fernando (2019), "Causas y consecuencias de la polarización", Cuadernos de Pensamiento Político, nº 64, pp. 5-16.
Casal Bértoa, Fernando y Rama Caamaño, José (2017), "¿Democracia en Crisis? El futuro de los partidos políticos y de la democracia representativa", Revista de Las Cortes Generales, pp. 249-273. https://doi.org/10.33426/rcg/2017/100-102/31
Chiaramonte, Alessandro y Emanuele, Vincenzo (2017), "Party System Volatility, Regeneration and de-Institutionalization inWestern Europe (1945- 2015)", Party Politics, vol. 23, nº 4, pp. 376-388. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068815601330
Chiaramonte, Alessandro y Emanuele, Vincenzo (2019), "Towards Turbulent Times: Measuring and Explaining Party System (de- )Institutionalization in Western Europe (1945-2015)", Italian Political Science Review/Rivista Italiana Di Scienza Politica, vol. 49, nº 1, pp. 1-23. https://doi.org/10.1017/ipo.2017.27
corrales, Javier (2005), "In Search of a Theory of Polarization: Lessons from Venezuela, 1999-2005", European Review of Latin American and Caribbean Studies/Revista Europea de Estudios Latinoamericanos y del Caribe, nº 79, pp. 105-118. https://doi.org/10.18352/erlacs.9666
Dalton, Russell J. (2006), "Social Modernization and the End of Ideology Debate: Patterns of Ideological Polarization", Japanese Journal of Political Science, vol. 7, nº 1, pp. 1-22. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1468109905002045
Dalton, Russell J. (2008), "The Quantity and the Quality of Party Systems: Party System Polarization, Its Measurement, and Its Consequences", Comparative Political Studies, vol. 41, nº 7, pp. 899-920. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414008315860
Delgado Sotillos, Irene y López-Nieto, Lourdes (2012), Comportamiento político y sociología electoral, UNED, Madrid.
Dixit, Avinash. K. yWeibull, Jörgen.W. (2007), "Political Polarization", Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 104, nº 18, pp. 7351-7356. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0702071104
Downs, Anthony (1957), "An Economic Theory of Political Action in a Democracy", Journal of Political Economy, vol. 65, nº 2, pp. 135-150. https://doi.org/10.1086/257897
Emanuele, Vincenzo (2015), "Dataset of Electoral Volatility and its Internal Components in Western Europe (1945-2015)", Rome: Italian Center for Electoral Studies.
Enyedi, Zsolt (2016), "Populist Polarization and Party System Institutionalization", Problems of Post-Communism, pp. vol. 63, nº 4, pp. 210- 220. https://doi.org/10.1080/10758216.2015.1113883
Ezrow, Lawrence (2008), "Parties' Policy Programmes and the Dog that didn't Bark: No Evidence that Proportional Systems Promote Extreme Party Positioning", British Journal of Political Science, vol. 38, nº 3, pp. 479-497. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123408000240
Fiorina, Morris P. & Abrams, Samuel J. (2008), "Political Polarization in the American Public", Annual Review of Political Science, vol. 11, nº 1, pp. 563-588 https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.11.053106.153836
Freire, André (2008), "Party Polarization and Citizens Left-Right Orientations", Party Politics, vol. 14, nº 2, pp. 189-209. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068807085889
Gidron, Noam; Adams, James y Horne, Will (2018), "How Ideology, Economics and Institutions Shape Affective Polarization in Democratic Politics". Presented at the Annual Conference of the American Political Science Association, Boston, August 30-September 2.
Gidron, Noam; Adams, James y Horne,Will (2020), American Affective Polarization in Comparative Perspective, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108914123
Goldberg, Andreas C; van Elsas, Erika J. y de Vreese, Claes H. (2020), "Mismatch? Comparing Elite and Citizen Polarisation on EU Issues Across Four Countries", Journal of European Public Policy, vol. 27, nº 2, pp. 310-328. https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2019.1701531
Gunther, Richard & Montero, José Ramón (2001), "The Anchors of Partisanship: A Comparative Analysis of Voting Behavior in Four Southern European Democracies", in Parties, Politics, and Democracy in the New Southern Europe, The Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, pp. 83-152.
Hetherington, Marc J. (2001), "Resurgent Mass Partisanship: The Role of Elite Polarization", American Political Science Review, vol. 95, nº 3, pp. 619- 631. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055401003045
Howard, Marc Morjé y Roessler, Philip G. (2006), "Liberalizing Electoral Outcomes in Competitive Authoritarian Regimes", American Journal of Political Science, vol. 50, nº 2, pp. 365-381. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2006.00189.x
Iyengar, Shanto yWestwood, Sean J. (2015), "Fear and Loathing Across Party Lines: New Evidence on Group Polarization", American Journal of Political Science, vol. 59, nº3, pp. 690-707. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12152
Key Jr, Valdimer O. (1955), "A Theory of Critical Elections", The Journal of Politics, vol 17, nº 1, pp. 3-18. https://doi.org/10.2307/2126401
Knutsen, Oddbjørn y Kumlin, Staffan (2003), "Value Orientations and Party Choice-A Comparative Longitudinal Study of Five Countries", Presented at the 2nd ECPR Conference, Marburg, 18-21 September, pp. 18- 21.
Laakso, Markku & Taagepera, Rein (1979), "Effective Number of Parties: a Measure with Application to West Europe", Comparative Political Studies, vol. 12, nº 1, pp. 3-27. https://doi.org/10.1177/001041407901200101
Lachat, Romain (2008), "The Impact of Party Polarization on Ideological Voting", Electoral Studies, vol. 27, nº 4, pp. 687-698. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2008.06.002
Lauka, Alban, McCoy, McCoy, Jennifer y Firat, Rengin B. (2018), "Mass Partisan Polarization: Measuring a Relational Concept", American Behavioral Scientist, vol. 62, nº 1, pp. 107-126. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764218759581
Levendusky, Matthew y Jackman, Simon (2003), Reconsidering the Measurement of Political Knowlege,Working Paper, Stanford University.
Lupu, Noam (2015), "Party Polarization and Mass Partisanship: A Comparative Perspective", Political Behavior, vol. 37, nº 2, pp. 331-356. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-014-9279-z
Maihold, Günther (2007), "La crispación. Instrumentos y efectos de la polarización política en España", en España: Del Consenso a La Polarización: Cambios En La Democracia Española, pp. 393-408.
Mainwaring, Scott (ed.) (1996), Building Democratic Institutions: Party Systems in Latin America, Stanford Univ. Press, Stanford.
Mainwaring, Scott y Scully, Timothy R. (1995), "La institucionalización de los sistemas de partidos en América Latina", Revista de Ciencia Política, vol. 17, nº 1-2, pp. 63-101.
Mainwaring, Scott y Torcal, Mariano (2006), "Party System Institutionalization and Party System Theory after the Third Wave of Democratization", in Handbook of party politics, Sage Publications, Londres, pp. 204-227. https://doi.org/10.4135/9781848608047.n19
Mair, Peter (1996), "Party Systems and Structures of Competition", Comparing Democracies, Sage, Londres.
Mair, Peter (2007), "Left-right Orientations", in The Oxford Handbook of Political Behavior, Oxford University Press, New York, pp. 206-222. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199270125.003.0011
Mair, Peter (2011), "The Election in Context", in Gallagher, Michael y Marsh, Michael (eds.), How Ireland Voted 2011: The Full Story of Ireland's Earthquake Election, Palgrave, Basingstoke, pp. 283-297. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230354005_13
Maravall, José Antonio (1981), "Los apoyos partidistas en España: polarización, fragmentación y estabilidad", Revista de Estudios Políticos, vol. 23, pp. 9-32.
McCoy, Jennifer; Rahman, Tahmina y Somer, Murat (2018), "Polarization and the Global Crisis of Democracy: Common Patterns, Dynamics, and Pernicious Consequences for Democratic Polities", American Behavioral Scientist, vol. 62, nº 1, pp. 16-42. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764218759576
Miller, Luis (2020), "La polarización política en España: entre ideologías y sentimientos", Papeles de Relaciones Ecosociales y Cambio Global, 152, pp. 13-22.
Miller, Luis y Torcal, Mariano (2020), "Veinticinco años de polarización afectiva en España", The Conversation, Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/veinticinco-anos-de-polarizacion-afectiva-enespana-149237
Montero, José Ramón y Santana, Andrés (2020), "Elections in Spain", in D. Muro, Diego e Lago, Ignacio, The Oxford Handbook of Spanish Politics, Oxford University Press, Oxford. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198826934.013.21
Morlino, Leonardo (1998), Democracy between Consolidation and Crisis: Parties, Groups, and Citizens in Southern Europe, Oxford University Press, Oxford. https://doi.org/10.1093/0198280823.001.0001
Norris, Pipa e Inglehart, Ronald (2019), Cultural Backlash: Trump, Brexit, and authoritarian populism, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108595841
Orriols, Lluis & Balcells, Laia (2012), "Party Polarisation and Spatial Voting in Spain", South European Society and Politics, vol. 17, nº 3, pp. 393-409. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2012.701891
Rama Caamaño, José (2016), "Ciclos electorales y sistema de partidos en España, 1977-2016", Revista Jurídica, vol. 34, pp. 241-266.
Rama Caamaño, José & Casal Bértoa, Fernando (2020) "Are Anti- Political-Establishment Parties a Peril for European Democracy? A Longitudinal Study from 1950 till 2017", Representation, vol. 56, nº 3, pp. 387- 410. https://doi.org/10.1080/00344893.2019.1643770
Reiljan, Andres (2020), "Fear and Loathing across Party Lines (also) in Europe: Affective Polarisation in European Party Systems", European Journal of Political Research, vol. 59, nº 2, pp. 376-396. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12351
Rodríguez-Teruel, Juan (2021), "Polarisation and Electoral Realignment: The Case of the Right-Wing Parties in Spain", South European Society and Politics, pp. 1-30. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003317012-7
Rose, Richard y Mishler,William (1998), "Negative and Positive Party Identification in Post-Communist Countries", Electoral Studies, vol. 17, nº 2, pp. 217-234. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0261-3794(98)00016-X
Sánchez-Cuenca, Ignacio (2020), "Spanish Democratization: Transition, Consolidation, and its Meaning in Contemporary Spain", in The Oxford Handbook of Spanish Politics, First Edition, pp. 32-47, Oxford University Press, United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198826934.013.3
Santamaría, Julián; Rabasco, María Esther y Toharia, Luis (eds.) (1982), Transición a la democracia en el sur de Europa y América Latina, Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas, Madrid.
Sartori, Giovanni (2003), Partidos y sistemas de partidos: Marco para un análisis, Alianza, Madrid.
Schmitt, Johannes (2016), "How to Measure Ideological Polarization in Party Systems", Presented at the ECPR Graduate Student Conference, Tartu, 10-13 July.
Sigelman, Lee y Yough, Syng (1978), "Left-right Polarization in National Party Systems: A cross-National Analysis", Comparative Political Studies, vol. 11, nº 3, pp. 355-379. https://doi.org/10.1177/001041407801100304
Simón, Pablo (2020), "The Multiple Spanish Elections of April and May 2019: The Impact of Territorial and Left-right Polarisation", South European Society and Politics, vol. 25, nº 3-4, pp. 1-34. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2020.1756612
Simón, Pablo (2021), "Two-bloc Logic, Polarisation and Coalition Government: The November 2019 General Election in Spain", South European Society and Politics, vol. 25, nº 3-4, pp. 1-31. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2020.1857085
Somer, Murat y McCoy, Jennifer (2018), "Déjà vu? Polarization and Endangered Democracies in the 21st Century", American Behavioral Scientist, vol. 62, nº 1, pp. 3-15. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002764218760371
Sørensen, Rune J. (2014), "Political Competition, Party Polarization, and Government Performance", Public Choice, vol 161, nº 3-4, pp. 427-450. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11127-014-0168-0
Tronconi, Filippo y Valbruzzi, Marco (2020), "Populism Put to the Polarisation Test: The 2019-20 Election Cycle in Italy", South European Society and Politics, vol. 25, nº 3-4, pp. 1-27. https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2020.1821465
Detalles
Detalles del artículo

Esta obra está bajo licencia internacional Creative Commons Reconocimiento-NoComercial-SinObrasDerivadas 4.0.
CESIÓN DE DERECHOS
Al enviar el artículo para su evaluación y posterior publicación en la revista Empresa y Humanismo, el AUTOR cede de manera exclusiva los derechos de comunicación pública, reproducción, distribución y venta para su explotación comercial a la Universidad de Navarra a través de su Servicio de Publicaciones, por el plazo máximo legal vigente -toda la vida del autor y setenta años después de su muerte o declaración de fallecimiento-, en cualquier país, y en cualquiera de las actuales y futuras modalidades de edición tanto en versión impresa como electrónica.
En el caso de que el artículo no fuera aceptado para su publicación, esta cesión de derechos decae con la comunicación de la negativa al AUTOR.
El AUTOR afirma que el artículo es inédito, que no ha sido enviado simultáneamente a otro medio de publicación y que los derechos no han sido cedidos de forma exclusiva con anterioridad. Se hace responsable frente a la Universidad de Navarra a través de su Servicio de Publicaciones de la autoría y originalidad de su obra, así como de todas las cargas pecuniarias que pudieran derivarse para Universidad de Navarra a través de su Servicio de Publicaciones, a favor de terceros con motivo de acciones, reclamaciones o conflictos derivados del incumplimiento de obligaciones por parte del AUTOR.